Problem 131
Question
If \(P(A)=\frac{2}{5}\) and \(P(B)=\frac{4}{5}\), then (A) \(P(A \cup B) \geq \frac{4}{5}\) (B) \(\frac{1}{5} \leq P(A \cap B) \leq \frac{2}{5}\) (C) \(\frac{1}{4} \leq P(A / B) \leq \frac{1}{2}\) (D) \(P\left(A \cap B^{\prime}\right) \leq \frac{1}{5}\)
Step-by-Step Solution
Verified Answer
All options A, B, C, and D are correct based on the probability calculations.
1Step 1: Clarify the Problem Statement
We need to evaluate the given alternatives (A, B, C, D) using the probability rules. The probabilities provided are \(P(A) = \frac{2}{5}\) and \(P(B) = \frac{4}{5}\). We will use these to determine the measure of each option given.
2Step 2: Evaluate Option A
To check if \(P(A \cup B) \geq \frac{4}{5}\), use the formula: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \] Since \(P(A \cap B)\) is unknown, let's set its possible range: \(0 \leq P(A \cap B) \leq \min(P(A), P(B)) = \frac{2}{5}\). Find the maximum possible value when \(P(A \cap B) = 0\): \[ P(A \cup B) = \frac{2}{5} + \frac{4}{5} - 0 = \frac{6}{5} \] This satisfies \(P(A \cup B) \geq \frac{4}{5}\).
3Step 3: Evaluate Option B
To verify:\( \frac{1}{5} \leq P(A \cap B) \leq \frac{2}{5} \), use the intersection probability range: Since \(P(A) + P(B) = \frac{6}{5}\), and using \(P(A \cup B) \leq 1\), we find: \[ P(A \cap B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cup B) \geq \frac{2}{5} + \frac{4}{5} - 1 = \frac{1}{5} \] Thus, \(\frac{1}{5} \leq P(A \cap B) \leq \frac{2}{5}\) is valid.
4Step 4: Evaluate Option C
Use this formula: \[ P(A / B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \]Assume \(P(A \cap B)\) at its range lower end, \(\frac{1}{5}\), and upper end, \(\frac{2}{5}\): - Lower end: \(\frac{\frac{1}{5}}{\frac{4}{5}} = \frac{1}{4}\) - Upper end: \(\frac{\frac{2}{5}}{\frac{4}{5}} = \frac{1}{2}\)Thus, \(\frac{1}{4} \leq P(A / B) \leq \frac{1}{2}\) is accurate.
5Step 5: Evaluate Option D
Check if \(P(A \cap B') \leq \frac{1}{5}\):\[ P(A \cap B') = P(A) - P(A \cap B) \], thus - Maximum \(P(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{5}\), then \(\frac{2}{5} - \frac{2}{5}= 0\),- Minimum \(P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{5}\), then \(\frac{2}{5} - \frac{1}{5}= \frac{1}{5}\)Therefore, \(P(A \cap B') \leq \frac{1}{5}\) is valid.
Key Concepts
Conditional ProbabilityUnion of EventsIntersection of EventsComplementary Events
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability helps us understand how the probability of an event changes when another event is known to have occurred. It's a way of updating the likelihood of an event based on new information. Mathematically, the conditional probability of an event \(A\) given an event \(B\) is denoted as \(P(A / B)\) and is calculated using the formula:
- \(P(A / B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}\)
Union of Events
In probability, the union of events refers to the set containing all outcomes that belong to either one of the events or to both. If you imagine sets, the union is where you combine all elements from each set without duplicating any elements. For two events \(A\) and \(B\), the probability of their union is represented as \(P(A \cup B)\). The formula to calculate this is:
- \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\)
Intersection of Events
The intersection of events is a fundamental idea where we look at the probability of two events happening at the same time. For example, the intersection of \(A\) and \(B\) is represented as \(A \cap B\), which focuses on the outcomes common to both events. In our problem, we figured out that the probability of the intersection falls between \(\frac{1}{5}\) and \(\frac{2}{5}\). This was done using the formula for union of events and ensuring the total probability doesn’t exceed 1. Thus, the intersection tells us how much overlap there is between the two events. This range of values (between \(\frac{1}{5}\) and \(\frac{2}{5}\)) provides insight into how often both \(A\) and \(B\) happen together, within the limits given in the exercise.
Complementary Events
Complementary events are all about understanding what happens outside of a specific event. If \(A\) is an event, its complement \(A^\prime\) consists of all outcomes not in \(A\). The probability of \(A^\prime\) is obtained by subtracting \(P(A)\) from 1:
- \(P(A^\prime) = 1 - P(A)\)
Other exercises in this chapter
Problem 126
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Assertion: \(A\) set \(X\) contains \(n\) elements. Two subsets \(A\) and \(B\) of \(X\) are chosen at random. The probability that \(A\) and \(B\) have same nu
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